Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.803682 4.418091 5.067771 5.802780 6.608077 7.460525 8.428040
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.855408 3.693391 4.641950 5.781809 7.101052 8.567219 10.306985
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.349878 3.349569 4.550655 6.067991 7.901962 10.016903 12.609535
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.873210 2.945514 4.311338 6.119348 8.391387 11.096842 14.505583
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.614545 2.767621 4.311474 6.434832 9.186513 12.544773 16.863997
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.388854 2.590860 4.278705 6.683125 9.885712 13.879014 19.106174
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.166467 2.377218 4.161744 6.793069 10.390875 14.967775 21.056500
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.941827 2.117320 3.942739 6.732419 10.648940 15.731016 22.599008
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.803448 1.972298 3.871784 6.863213 11.154885 16.813147 24.555721
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.685044 1.838730 3.799598 6.977682 11.630330 17.855004 26.469657
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.539747 1.623128 3.569174 6.832885 11.724545 18.379422 27.707947
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.420828 1.430467 3.351195 6.684279 11.795582 18.861484 28.886482
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.333836 1.286534 3.204319 6.641688 12.025683 19.577727 30.409382
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.257820 1.144714 3.042470 6.560263 12.189915 20.202268 31.818027
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.230296 1.120568 3.099426 6.842735 12.909961 21.618818 34.322988
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.185362 1.032190 3.018973 6.883952 13.257374 22.510672 36.121135
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.169612 1.027466 3.106700 7.218472 14.066725 24.074445 38.863849
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.150527 1.005449 3.154954 7.483362 14.771104 25.496447 41.426641
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.124721 0.949329 3.122859 7.600336 15.241099 26.583764 43.535068
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.093708 0.856099 2.995640 7.533897 15.411007 27.231702 45.033030
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.077504 0.815076 2.982040 7.674742 15.916891 28.378008 47.242355
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.063183 0.773508 2.961154 7.798122 16.393628 29.484379 49.403389
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.042853 0.681044 2.800918 7.641657 16.398691 29.883458 50.559680